The forecast is coming up shortly, but first please read the message I have for you this Easter. This is the last blog post before the most significant day of the whole year. Unless there is some breaking weather, look for the next complete forecast to be on Monday. There is no video blog tonight.
Today is Holy Thursday/Maundy Thursday better known as the Feast of the Last Supper. This is the night when Jesus had supper with His disciples for the last time before He died on the Cross. That brings us to Good Friday. Good Friday is one of the most significant days of the whole calendar year. It is a somber day, but also a glorious day! For you see, Jesus Christ, the only son of God, was sent to die on the Cross for you and me. He died for the sins of all people past, present, and future. Through one of God's many miracles, Jesus was born, became man, died at the age of 33, and was resurrected. Who could love someone so much, that He would freely accept death to take it all away for me and you? Jesus was without sin, but He loved each and everyone one of us so much, that He gave us the Ultimate Sacrifice. The sacrifice that Catholics and many other Christians make for the season of Lent is just a small reminder to us of the Ultimate Sacrifice. I feel that the significance of Good Friday is often lost in the shuffle of everyday life, even more so than Christmas. It is Spring Break for many, and a day off of work for many. Certainly enjoy the day and your time off, but please don't forget about the significance of Good Friday. Do you ever wonder how things would be in this life if Jesus hadn't gave His life for us? Where would we be? Who would we be? Take time out of your day to pray and reflect, and just thank Him for the Sacrifice He made. Do you know this Jesus that I speak of? If not, I truly hope and pray that you will come to know Him. He shows love no matter what, even after being rejected so many times over the course of humanity! You will never have a greater Friend than Jesus! Shame on those people out there who want to change the name of Good Friday to Spring Holiday! Now, we move ahead to three days later! That brings us to the joyous occasion of Easter. It's not about eggs or bunnies or chocolate, it's the day that Victory was won for all! This death was like no other, for when someone dies you can visit their gravesite, but Jesus doesn't have a grave. For on that early Sunday morning, many years ago two women came to visit the tomb, and the stone had been rolled away! It was then that the Scripture had been fulfilled, Jesus was resurrected, and seated at the right hand of the Father. Therefore, the Victory was won when He was resurrected. He died and rose again over the course of 3 days to save us from condemnation...how awesome is that? Easter Sunday...what a wonderful time to be with your family and friends and all who love us to honor and celebrate the One who loves us more than anything! Also, don't forget to remember and say a prayer for all the brave men and women fighting for our country all over the world whether its Afghanistan, Iraq, or elsewhere! Thank you for all Yes, Easter is more scaled down than Christmas when it comes to presents and what not, but the significance of the day is just as important as Christmas. I don't understand why many of the places that are closed for Christmas or open for Easter? Is Easter not as important as Christmas? My Easter wish for you is that you enjoy the time with your family and friends, and I pray that God blesses you many times over. I also hope that you remember that no matter who is in the White House and running this country, God is still in control, and is above all things! No one on this Earth can play or be God no matter how hard they try! Thank you Jesus, for dying for me so that I will not perish, but have eternal life. God, thank you for sending your One and Only Son to take it all away! Happy Easter everyone and God bless!
Now onto the forecast...
SW Louisiana Forecast Discussion...The forecast philosophy remains virtually unchanged from the inherited forecast. The pesky prevailing pattern rolls on with little to no change expected through the all important Easter holiday weekend. Expect another day of Partly to Mostly Cloudy skies for Good Friday. Plenty of unseasonable warmth & humidity will be in place. Winds will also increase once again as another Pacific storm ejects out of the Rockies and into the Mid West. Look for a repeat performance of today's mid to upper 80s for highs while morning lows begin in the low to mid 70s yet again. A low stratus deck will be present first thing in the morning, but with the effects of daytime heating & wind creating atmospheric mixing a transition to a sun and cloud mix is expected. The warmest locations North of I-10 will flirt with the 90 degree mark once again. These values about 10 degrees above the normal for the latter stages of April. No overall pattern change is expected through Easter Sunday, and you can expect the warmth & high humidity to prevail. It will be a warm Easter, but also dry. Highs will continue to average mid to upper 80s with lows in the low to mid 70s. The winds will remain an issue for the weekend as well with a storm system advancing across the country to our North. While it is nice that our weather will be quiet, and we won't have issues with severe weather over the Easter weekend, we do need rain with the drought worsening a little bit each day. Let's look at the rest of the forecast to see if there is any opportunity forthcoming!
The synoptic pattern is showing signs of changing as we get into next week (Spring Break week). It won't be so evident at first with basically the same conditions prevailing for Monday with mid and upper level ridging holding firm. Breezy, warm, & humid weather will be in place. However, by Tuesday is when things may change. The mid and upper level riding pattern should begin to erode as a strong late season front drops out of the Rockies. An advancing short wave out ahead of the digging trough will drop SE, and help erode the upper level high. This will create some lifting and generate some upper level support that is necessary for clouds to grow vertically. The moist and unstable atmosphere will continue with lows remaining in the 70s while highs easily continue to surpass the 80 degree threshold. At least a slight chance for some showers & thunderstorms will be inserted into the forecast for Tuesday as enough ingredients will exist to give us some hope for rainfall. There is still a lot of uncertainty at this time, but it doesn't appear that this will be a widespread soaking, since mostly just scattered activity is expected. However, with the chance for some convective activity may also come a severe weather threat. It is too early to speculate on this, and I will divulge specifics of that after Easter.
The best opportunity for rainfall during this forecast period is still slated for Wednesday at this time. That is when I expect a decent cold front to move through the area bringing additional lift and some dynamics to the region. This could provide the focal point for a bit better coverage of rainfall, but it still looks like the best dynamics and best chance of widespread rainfall will remain to the North of our area. Model data suggests rainfall amounts will be an inch or less. We will take whatever we can get at this juncture, but this doesn't look like it will be a significant enough event to alleviate the ongoing drought. With the better chance for showers & storms at mid-week, we will likely also see more clouds than sun at that time. I expect generally Mostly Cloudy to Cloudy with a few peaks of sun possible. Some severe weather can't be ruled out along and just ahead of this front as well. The unseasonably warm & humid conditions will stick around for yet another day in the pre-frontal environment. Highs should easily climb towards the mid 80s yet again with morning lows back around 70. A strong onshore flow will persist as well with pressure gradients tightening and fluctuating from day to day as storm systems advance. Cooler & much drier air takes over in the wake of the front for the second half of next week. High pressure builds in with temperatures returning to near to slightly above normal for highs, and near to slightly below normal for highs. Plenty of sunshine with much lower humidity is expected on Thursday. That should carry over into next weekend, and make it quite pleasant for the first weekend of Contraband Days. Hard to believe we will be at the end of April as well. Have a Happy Easter!
Preliminary Numbers & Zone Forecast:
LCH 73/87 72/88 72/88 0 0 0 0 0 0
CAM 77/81 76/80 76/82 0 0 0 0 0 0
LFT 72/88 71/89 73/88 0 0 0 0 0 0
ARA 74/86 74/87 75/87 0 0 0 0 0 0
BPT 75/89 75/90 74/89 0 0 0 0 0 0
AEX 70/90 71/91 70/90 0 0 0 0 0 0
POE 71/90 70/91 71/90 0 0 0 0 0 0
Tonight...Mostly Cloudy. Low 73. SSE wind 10 mph.
Good Friday...Partly Cloudy w/ some Mostly Sunny intervals. High 87. SSE wind 15-20 mph & gusty.
Good Friday Night...Partly to Mostly Cloudy. Low 72. SSE wind 10 mph.
Saturday...Partly Cloudy. High 88. South wind 15-20 mph & gusty.
Saturday Night...Partly to Mostly Cloudy. Low 72. South wind 10 mph.
Easter Sunday...Partly Cloudy. High 88. SSE wind 15-20 mph & gusty.
Easter Sunday Night...Partly to Mostly Cloudy. Low 71. SSE wind 10 mph.
Monday...Partly to Mostly Cloudy. High 89. South wind 15-20 mph & gusty.
Monday Night...Mostly Cloudy. Low 74. SSE wind 10 mph.
Tuesday...Partly to Mostly Cloudy w/ a 30% chance of showers & thunderstorms. High 85. South wind 20-25 mph & gusty.
Good Friday 4/22/11 Daily Planner
6a.m.
Weather: Mostly Cloudy
Temp: 73
Rain: 0%
Wind: SSE 10
9a.m.
Weather: Partly to Mostly Cloudy
Temp: 79
Rain: 0%
Wind: SSE 13
Noon
Weather: Partly Cloudy
Temp: 83
Rain: 0%
Wind: SSE 15
3p.m.
Weather: Partly Cloudy
Temp: 87
Rain: 0%
Wind: SSE 18
6p.m.
Weather: Partly Cloudy
Temp: 82
Rain: 0%
Wind: SSE 15
9p.m.
Weather: Partly Cloudy
Temp: 78
Rain: 0%
Wind: SSE 12
Drew's 7 Day Outlook
Friday
4-22-11
Good Friday
Low: 73
High: 87
Rain: 0%
Wind: SSE 15-20
Saturday
4-23-11
Low: 72
High: 88
Rain: 0%
Wind: S 15-20
Sunday
4-24-11
Easter Sunday
Low: 72
High: 88
Rain: 0%
Wind: SSE 15-20
Monday
4-25-11
Low: 71
High: 89
Rain: 10%
Wind: S 15-20
Tuesday
4-26-11
Low: 74
High: 85
Rain: 30%
Wind: S 20-25
Wednesday
4-27-11
Low: 72
High: 83
Rain: 40%
Wind: SSW/NNW 15-25
Thursday
4-28-11
Low: 57
High: 81
Rain: 0%
Wind: NNW 10-15
...Marine Forecast...
Tonight...Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Friday...South winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Friday Night...South winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Saturday...South winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Saturday Night...Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Sunday...Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Sunday Night...Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Monday...South winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Monday Night...South winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Tuesday...South winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
...Tide Data...
Friday Tides @ Calcasieu Pass:
Low: 12:23a.m. 1:51p.m.
High: 9:09a.m. 5:11p.m.
...Toledo Bend Pool Level...
164.16'
...Lake Charles Climate Summary...
Thursday, April 21, 2011
Low: 72
Normal Low: 58
Record Low: 41-1910
High: 88
Normal High: 78
Record High: 91-1987
Rainfall
Today: 0.00"
Month to Date: 0.09"
Normal Month to Date: 2.38"
Year to Date: 12.33"
Normal Year to Date: 14.72"
Record: 3.23"- 1975
Significant Weather Observed:
Fog
One Year Ago (2010)
Low: 54
High: 81
Rain: 0.00"
5 Years Ago (2006)
Low: 67
High: 82
Rain: 0.37"
10 Years Ago (2001)
Low: 62
High: 83
Rain: 0.00"
Sunrise Friday: 6:39a.m.
Sunset Friday: 7:44p.m.
Hunting Times:
6:09a.m.-8:14p.m.
...Lunar Table...
Last Quarter- Monday April 25
New Moon- Tuesday May 3
First Quarter- Tuesday May 10
Full Moon- Tuesday May 17
Have a great Good Friday & Easter! God Bless!
-DM-
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